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Jul 27, 2014

OIL FUTURES: Oil Futures Fall as Euro Concerns Continue

Published: Nov 27, 2012


By Alison Sider


HOUSTON--Crude-oil futures slid slightly Tuesday on disappointment over the Greek debt-relief deal.

Futures initially climbed 50 cents a barrel to $88.25 a barrel after an announcement of a long-sought deal to raise Greece's debt-to-gross-domestic-product ratio to 124% in 2020, up from the previous limit of 120%, opening the door to debt aid payments to Athens.

But the market was less than enthusiastic after taking a closer look at the deal. Analysts and traders said they weren't convinced that Greece could meet its new debt targets under the deal.

"The language is so strewn with, 'if this happens, if that happens,'" said Kyle Cooper of IAF Advisors in Houston of the debt-relief deal. "It seems like it's really an agreement of hope with probably not a lot of basis in reality."

The oil industry has been scrutinizing developments out of Europe, fearing that the crisis would sour the region's economy and reduce demand for raw materials such as crude oil. Market participants also worried that Europe could touch off a global downturn and further depress the appetite for oil.

Light sweet crude for January delivery settled 56 cents, or 0.6% lower Tuesday, at $87.18 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange--or more than $1 lower than the level reached in the initial euphoria over the deal. January Brent crude settled down $1.05, or 1%, at $109.87.

The pessimistic reaction to the deal also hurt the euro and boosted the dollar, which in turn weighed on oil prices. Dollar-denominated crude futures move inversely to the U.S. currency. If the dollar rises, commodity futures become more expensive for buyers in other currencies.

"When the dollar got a pop, rest of commodities took a hit," said Phil Flynn, an analyst with the Price Futures Group.

Crude prices also were hurt by a selloff in the U.S. equity markets, prompted by concerns of the impending fiscal cliff, Mr. Cooper of IAF Advisors added.

Analysts and traders don't expect things will get better for crude futures Wednesday, that is when the U.S. government releases its oil inventories.

Crude stockpiles are expected to increase 500,000 in the week ended Friday, according to an average of estimates from nine analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires. Gasoline inventories are projected to rise 900,000 barrels. Meanwhile, stocks of distillates, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, are forecast to be flat.

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said U.S. oil stockpiles rose 1.96 million barrels last week. Gasoline stockpiles rose 2.279 million barrels, and distillate stocks rose 268,000 barrels

Front-month December reformulated gasoline blendstock, or RBOB, settled 0.58 cent, or 0.2%, higher at $2.7321 a gallon. December heating oil settled 3.71 cents, or 1.2%, lower at $3.0094 a gallon.

More information on settlements and highs and lows for futures on Nymex and ICE platforms can be found by searching for the following headlines:


Nymex Light Crude Oil Close
Nymex Harbor RBOB Gasoline Close
Nymex Heating Oil Close
ICE Brent Crude Oil Close
ICE Gas Oil Close


Write to Alison Sider at alison.sider@dowjones.com.

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NATURAL GAS STORAGE*
EIA report for week ending 7-11-2014 Our prediction for week ending 7-18-2014
2129 2223
Weekly change
+107up +94upest

Commodity Prices ($)

Natural Gas4.167
Crude Oil93.64
Heating Oil2.9017
RBOB Gas2.8118
Coal59.03