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View Poll Results: Storage for EIA report date 2/23/12
0 to -150 Bcf 2 5.71%
-150 to -160 Bcf 5 14.29%
-160 to -170 Bcf 15 42.86%
-170 to -180 Bcf 8 22.86%
-180 to -250 Bcf 5 14.29%
Voters: 35. You may not vote on this poll

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  #91  
Old February 24th, 2012, 10:36 AM
Gastrader Gastrader is offline
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Any early draw forecasts for the next report ? I see FEF has -58 so far.
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  #92  
Old February 24th, 2012, 10:42 AM
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currently at -93 for next wk.
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  #93  
Old February 24th, 2012, 10:45 AM
Gastrader Gastrader is offline
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Originally Posted by ben2008 View Post
currently at -93 for next wk.
Thanks. That's higher than last year but lower than the five year avg.
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  #94  
Old February 24th, 2012, 10:48 AM
heatprime heatprime is offline
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Originally Posted by ben2008 View Post
currently at -93 for next wk.
That's higher than last year. March 3, 2011 was -85.
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  #95  
Old February 24th, 2012, 11:08 AM
rmb623 rmb623 is offline
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Originally Posted by heatprime View Post
That's higher than last year. March 3, 2011 was -85.
higher draw is what he probably meant, not higher number.
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  #96  
Old February 24th, 2012, 11:18 AM
Fivethousandoverlibor Fivethousandoverlibor is offline
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-87, -92, -56 nationally next three. 2,360 Bcf @ 3/8. +726 YoY.

More importantly, to us, -16, -19, -7 for the PR. 955 @ 3/8. The 5-yr average low-inventory date for the PR is March 4 (range from Feb 18 to Mar 14). Interestingly, our year-ago baselines starting with next week in the PR are all injections.
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  #97  
Old February 24th, 2012, 03:15 PM
wolfoptiontrading wolfoptiontrading is offline
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Originally Posted by Fivethousandoverlibor View Post
-87, -92, -56 nationally next three. 2,360 Bcf @ 3/8. +726 YoY.

More importantly, to us, -16, -19, -7 for the PR. 955 @ 3/8. The 5-yr average low-inventory date for the PR is March 4 (range from Feb 18 to Mar 14). Interestingly, our year-ago baselines starting with next week in the PR are all injections.
I know I am not one to ask and don't want to step on toes or piss people off but curious how 3/1 is higher for national and P region than 2/23?

The data I am looking at based on weather and S/D I have (didn't pull today scrapes yet) has 3/1 less than 2/23 but marginally so (immaterial perhaps).

I have 3/1 as the same national hdd as 2/23 but the 3/1 forecast for E & P region having lower hdd's than 2/23 (same CDD's for P). W putting in higher HDD's on 3/1 than 2/23 to get it back to the same national HDD.

2/23 was -61 E, -18 P, -8 W
3/1 projects -57 E, -16 P, -10 W.
3/8 I haven't projected out regionally but had -50 this afternoon.
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  #98  
Old March 6th, 2012, 08:28 AM
Fivethousandoverlibor Fivethousandoverlibor is offline
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Originally Posted by wolfoptiontrading View Post
I know I am not one to ask and don't want to step on toes or piss people off but curious how 3/1 is higher for national and P region than 2/23?
Get it yet Nat Gas king?
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  #99  
Old March 6th, 2012, 08:41 AM
wolfoptiontrading wolfoptiontrading is offline
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Originally Posted by Fivethousandoverlibor View Post
Get it yet Nat Gas king?
Five

Pretty sure of yourself considering EIA hasn't even reported the 3/1 report yet?

But yeah I posted up last week saying 3/1 was likely to beat 2/23 once I saw 2/23 only put up -82 when I was thinking it was going to put up -86 to -90.

But good job on predicting scrapes for 3/1 were going to come in higher than 2/23 before they occured and that 2/23 was going to be 5 bcf lower than your estimate provided.
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  #100  
Old March 6th, 2012, 02:33 PM
Fivethousandoverlibor Fivethousandoverlibor is offline
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Originally Posted by wolfoptiontrading View Post
Five

Pretty sure of yourself considering EIA hasn't even reported the 3/1 report yet?

But yeah I posted up last week saying 3/1 was likely to beat 2/23 once I saw 2/23 only put up -82 when I was thinking it was going to put up -86 to -90.

But good job on predicting scrapes for 3/1 were going to come in higher than 2/23 before they occured and that 2/23 was going to be 5 bcf lower than your estimate provided.
Wolf, you redefine poseur, gallantly.
It's our job to predict scrapes before they occur. It's your job to regurgitate that information into some mishmash of incomplete tropes and pandemic inability to properly use your native language. At least you know your role.
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