[Gastrader]

Any early draw forecasts for the next report ? I see FEF has -58 so far.

[ben2008]

currently at -93 for next wk.

[Gastrader]

Originally Posted by ben2008 currently at -93 for next wk.

Thanks. That's higher than last year but lower than the five year avg.

[heatprime]

Originally Posted by ben2008 currently at -93 for next wk.

That's higher than last year. March 3, 2011 was -85.

[rmb623]

Originally Posted by heatprime That's higher than last year. March 3, 2011 was -85.

higher draw is what he probably meant, not higher number.

[Fivethousandoverlibor]

-87, -92, -56 nationally next three. 2,360 Bcf @ 3/8. +726 YoY.

More importantly, to us, -16, -19, -7 for the PR. 955 @ 3/8. The 5-yr average low-inventory date for the PR is March 4 (range from Feb 18 to Mar 14). Interestingly, our year-ago baselines starting with next week in the PR are all injections.

[wolfoptiontrading]

Originally Posted by Fivethousandoverlibor -87, -92, -56 nationally next three. 2,360 Bcf @ 3/8. +726 YoY. More importantly, to us, -16, -19, -7 for the PR. 955 @ 3/8. The 5-yr average low-inventory date for the PR is March 4 (range from Feb 18 to Mar 14). Interestingly, our year-ago baselines starting with next week in the PR are all injections.

I know I am not one to ask and don't want to step on toes or piss people off but curious how 3/1 is higher for national and P region than 2/23?

The data I am looking at based on weather and S/D I have (didn't pull today scrapes yet) has 3/1 less than 2/23 but marginally so (immaterial perhaps).

I have 3/1 as the same national hdd as 2/23 but the 3/1 forecast for E & P region having lower hdd's than 2/23 (same CDD's for P). W putting in higher HDD's on 3/1 than 2/23 to get it back to the same national HDD.

2/23 was -61 E, -18 P, -8 W
3/1 projects -57 E, -16 P, -10 W.
3/8 I haven't projected out regionally but had -50 this afternoon.

[Fivethousandoverlibor]

Originally Posted by wolfoptiontrading I know I am not one to ask and don't want to step on toes or piss people off but curious how 3/1 is higher for national and P region than 2/23?

Get it yet Nat Gas king?

[wolfoptiontrading]

Originally Posted by Fivethousandoverlibor Get it yet Nat Gas king?

Five

Pretty sure of yourself considering EIA hasn't even reported the 3/1 report yet?

But yeah I posted up last week saying 3/1 was likely to beat 2/23 once I saw 2/23 only put up -82 when I was thinking it was going to put up -86 to -90.

But good job on predicting scrapes for 3/1 were going to come in higher than 2/23 before they occured and that 2/23 was going to be 5 bcf lower than your estimate provided.

[Fivethousandoverlibor]

Originally Posted by wolfoptiontrading Five Pretty sure of yourself considering EIA hasn't even reported the 3/1 report yet? But yeah I posted up last week saying 3/1 was likely to beat 2/23 once I saw 2/23 only put up -82 when I was thinking it was going to put up -86 to -90. But good job on predicting scrapes for 3/1 were going to come in higher than 2/23 before they occured and that 2/23 was going to be 5 bcf lower than your estimate provided.

Wolf, you redefine poseur, gallantly.
It's our job to predict scrapes before they occur. It's your job to regurgitate that information into some mishmash of incomplete tropes and pandemic inability to properly use your native language. At least you know your role.