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Energy Prices and Analysis

May 17, 2012

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Daily US Net Dry Gas Imports Model

	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	TOTAL
03/16/12	3.89	3.87	3.75	3.54	3.48	3.19	3.18	24.90
03/23/12	3.37	3.40	3.38	3.34	3.32	3.45	3.22	23.48
03/30/12	3.02	3.28	3.24	4.10	3.77	3.98	3.71	25.10
04/06/12	3.72	3.66	4.11	3.97	3.98	3.99	3.72	27.16
04/13/12	3.82	3.78	4.04	4.57	3.80	4.02	3.77	27.79
04/20/12	3.75	3.85	3.85	3.87	3.03	3.41	3.19	24.96
04/27/12	3.78	3.58	3.87	4.00	3.31	3.85	3.76	26.14
05/04/12	3.66	3.69	3.80	3.88	4.19	4.26	3.88	27.34
05/11/12	3.97	3.50	3.41	3.43	3.71	3.37	3.22	24.61
05/18/12	3.35	3.17	-	-	-	-	-	6.52
	* BCF/day
	* estimated sample size: 120%

Daily US LNG Imports

	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	TOTAL
03/16/12	0.38	0.40	0.33	0.36	0.44	0.39	0.38	2.68
03/23/12	0.48	0.39	0.37	0.50	0.31	0.40	0.42	2.87
03/30/12	0.34	0.39	0.46	0.59	0.48	0.41	0.38	3.05
04/06/12	0.40	0.31	0.30	0.42	0.32	0.32	0.34	2.41
04/13/12	0.33	0.33	0.34	0.51	0.44	0.36	0.29	2.59
04/20/12	0.34	0.31	0.34	0.35	0.31	0.37	0.57	2.59
04/27/12	0.31	0.30	0.37	0.39	0.32	0.34	0.23	2.27
05/04/12	0.16	0.17	0.17	0.14	0.13	0.15	0.15	1.06
05/11/12	0.13	0.12	0.12	0.16	0.12	0.12	0.13	0.90
05/18/12	0.20	0.21	-	-	-	-	-	0.40
	* BCF/day
	* revaporized
	* estimated sample size: 81%

Daily US Imports From Canada

	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	TOTAL
03/16/12	7.60	7.55	7.55	7.47	7.39	7.01	7.02	51.58
03/23/12	6.91	6.89	7.01	7.22	7.09	7.02	6.73	48.87
03/30/12	6.52	6.72	6.72	7.73	7.32	7.31	7.14	49.47
04/06/12	7.18	7.25	7.48	7.34	7.31	7.28	7.08	50.91
04/13/12	7.17	7.17	7.44	7.52	7.17	7.16	7.14	50.77
04/20/12	7.01	7.13	7.20	7.23	6.69	7.00	6.64	48.89
04/27/12	7.16	6.97	7.23	7.20	6.57	7.27	7.19	49.59
05/04/12	7.03	7.11	7.22	7.17	7.33	7.44	7.03	50.33
05/11/12	6.77	6.83	6.78	6.79	7.04	7.06	7.02	48.28
05/18/12	6.90	6.84	-	-	-	-	-	13.74
	* BCF/day
	* estimated sample size: 115%

Daily US Exports To Canada

	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	TOTAL
03/16/12	2.66	2.69	2.68	2.76	2.82	2.70	2.72	19.03
03/23/12	2.49	2.45	2.48	2.68	2.63	2.48	2.46	17.67
03/30/12	2.50	2.49	2.44	2.50	2.42	2.25	2.37	16.97
04/06/12	2.40	2.60	2.33	2.42	2.28	2.32	2.46	16.81
04/13/12	2.46	2.48	2.48	2.03	2.36	2.17	2.31	16.27
04/20/12	2.36	2.40	2.29	2.16	2.47	2.43	2.23	16.35
04/27/12	2.26	2.29	2.25	2.12	2.19	2.29	2.26	15.66
05/04/12	2.30	2.32	2.35	2.23	2.10	2.20	2.17	15.66
05/11/12	1.80	2.31	2.31	2.30	2.23	2.43	2.53	15.91
05/18/12	2.54	2.46	-	-	-	-	-	5.00
	* BCF/day
	* estimated sample size: 205%

Daily US Imports From Mexico

	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	TOTAL
01/20/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
01/27/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
02/03/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
02/10/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
02/17/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
02/24/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
03/02/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
03/09/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
03/16/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
03/23/12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	-	0.00
	* BCF/day
	* estimated sample size: 8%

Daily US Exports To Mexico

	Sat	Sun	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	TOTAL
03/16/12	1.04	0.98	1.12	1.17	1.09	1.13	1.13	7.66
03/23/12	1.05	1.05	1.14	1.20	1.15	1.08	1.05	7.72
03/30/12	1.00	0.96	1.04	1.12	1.13	1.08	1.07	7.40
04/06/12	1.05	0.99	1.04	0.95	1.05	0.96	0.89	6.94
04/13/12	0.89	0.91	0.93	0.93	1.01	0.96	1.07	6.70
04/20/12	0.90	0.88	1.05	1.19	1.19	1.16	1.22	7.59
04/27/12	1.12	1.10	1.11	1.09	1.07	1.13	1.17	7.79
05/04/12	1.08	1.10	1.07	1.06	1.04	0.99	0.98	7.32
05/11/12	1.00	1.01	1.06	1.05	1.11	1.26	1.27	7.75
05/18/12	1.01	1.21	-	-	-	-	-	2.22
	* BCF/day
	* estimated sample size: 81%

Monthly US Dry-Gas Import-Export Model

	Net Imports
	2009	2010	2011	2012
Jan	7.89	8.50	7.20	4.65
Feb	7.65	8.00	6.13	4.39
Mar	6.84	6.46	4.80	3.75
Apr	6.55	6.70	4.83	3.78
May	4.99	6.30	3.94	0.00
Jun	6.25	6.27	4.00	0.00
Jul	7.66	7.65	5.48	0.00
Aug	8.34	7.25	4.71	0.00
Sep	7.58	6.43	4.11	0.00
Oct	6.03	5.77	4.53	0.00
Nov	6.05	4.45	4.02	0.00
Dec	7.22	6.83	4.98	0.00

Imports From Canada
2009	2010	2011	2012
11.64	11.72	10.60	7.74
11.93	10.96	10.02	7.74
10.60	9.91	8.82	7.33
9.70	9.90	8.28	7.14
8.45	10.02	7.55	0.00
9.39	9.93	7.86	0.00
10.50	11.29	8.62	0.00
11.37	10.79	8.11	0.00
10.48	9.90	7.83	0.00
8.68	9.28	7.84	0.00
9.58	8.02	7.57	0.00
10.63	10.23	8.34	0.00

Exports To Canada
2009	2010	2011	2012
3.16	2.45	2.59	2.17
3.47	2.24	2.90	2.31
3.01	2.94	3.02	2.53
2.77	2.72	2.54	2.32
2.64	3.05	2.60	0.00
2.37	2.87	2.77	0.00
1.98	2.83	2.05	0.00
2.12	2.69	2.36	0.00
2.00	2.82	2.64	0.00
1.87	2.84	2.15	0.00
2.69	2.78	2.53	0.00
2.67	2.47	2.37	0.00

* experimental model

Exports To Mexico*
	2009	2010	2011	2012
Jan	0.83	0.82	0.81	0.92
Feb	0.83	0.76	0.99	1.04
Mar	0.75	0.62	1.00	1.05
Apr	0.63	0.50	0.91	1.04
May	0.85	0.67	1.00	0.00
Jun	0.82	0.79	1.09	0.00
Jul	0.93	0.81	1.09	0.00
Aug	0.92	0.84	1.04	0.00
Sep	0.92	0.69	1.08	0.00
Oct	0.85	0.68	1.16	0.00
Nov	0.84	0.80	1.02	0.00
Dec	0.85	0.94	0.99	0.00

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Energy Prices and Analysis

May 17, 2012

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