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Commentary and Reports for Mar 16, 2010
Peak Oil ReviewOil prices spent the week in the vicinity of $82 a barrel. On Friday prices rose briefly to a two-month high of $83.16, then fell back on concerns about US economic growth... Full Story
Our energy supply: some basicsIf a person were to listen to Energy Secretary Steven Chu or National Geographic's Aftermath: World Without Oil, one might think that our energy problems are fairly minor and distant... Full Story
The Energy Report: The Great Fire Wall of ChinaThe Energy Report Monday March 15, 2010 China president Premier Wen Jiabao The Great Fire Wall of China: Google is 99... Full Story
Rig CountBaker Hughes North American Rotary Rig Count for Week Ending 3/12/10..... Full Story
The Energy Report: Absolutely AstonishingOil prices are on the rise again as the International Energy Agency is the latest forecaster to increase their expectations for China oil demand... Full Story
The U.S. Energy OutlookGenerally assumes current laws and regulations
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provisions sunset if specified (e.g., renewable tax credits expire)
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excludes potential future laws and regulations (e.g... Full Story
Twin Threats to Resource Scarcity: Oil & WaterMany Scarce Resources Have Abundant Substitutes
World could learn how to get along without copper... Full Story
The Black Art of Oil Reserves...As I read the "Peak Oil" blogs and message boards, what strikes me is the huge quantity of experts ABOUT Peak Oil/Hydrocarbons/Oil and Gas Business/All Energy/What We Should Do that don't seem... Full Story
The Myth of Energy BreakthroughsRenewed belief in the concept of Energy Breakthrough seems resurgent these days, as a versatile scientist now helms the Department of Energy, and famous people such as Bill Gates invoke the need... Full Story
Shale Gas A Game Changer for U.S. and Global Gas Markets?History of U.S. shale gas production
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Began with technical success in Barnett Shale
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Has grown to over 10% of U.S. gas production
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Role of shale gas in the U.S... Full Story
The Energy Report: HOT!HOT!HOT!HOT! HOT! HOT! Inflation in China may be getting too hot to handle! Don't touch or you could get burned... Full Story
Will natural gas profit from the death of US coal?The US natural gas industry, so angsty of late about its profile in Washington as a way of reducing CO2 emissions, might not have so much to worry about... Full Story
Will natural gas profit from the death of US coal? March 10, 2010 10:48am by Kate Mackenzie The US natural gCommodity traders love patterns, and over time, natural gas has exhibited one of the asset class's most consistent patterns: seasonality... Full Story
The Energy Report: The API Catch UpIt looks like the API is playing catch up to the Department of Energy... Full Story
Weekly Energy PerspectivesNatural Gas: The NYMEX
prompt-month contract decreased
$1.22/MMBtu last week to
$4.59/MMBtu on Friday. The 12-
month NYMEX strip price was
down $0.22/MMBtu to
$5.18/MMBtu... Full Story
EIA Discussion for Week Ending March 5thProjected EIA working storage for the week ending March 5th, 2010: First Enercast Financial is predicting a withdrawal of 116 BCF for this weeks EIA release, bringing total storage to... Full Story
The Energy Report: China Appreciation DayOil prices are under a bit of pressure to start the day as attention turns again to the forex markets... Full Story
Why Energy Is the Only Real CurrencyWhen oil crossed $120 a barrel for the first time in May 2008, oil cornucopians knew they were in trouble..... Full Story
The true cost of shale gas productionI try not to get into arguments over other people's religious convictions. Even if you win your point, you make an enemy. That's been a conventional understanding since the Thirty Years War... Full Story
Crude Oil Breaks The Dollar Rule For The Summer High NoonCrude oil surged to its highest level in almost eight weeks and gasoline also rose to a 17-month high after the U.S. employment declined less than forecast in February... Full Story
Peak Oil Review1. Prices and Production Oil prices rose steadily last week closing on Friday at $81.50 after touching a high above $82. Prices have yet to regain the 2010 high of $83.95 reached on January 11th... Full Story
The Energy Report: All is wellAll is well. One dose of a better than expected jobs report and all our troubles just go away... Full Story
Rig CountWeekly Baker Hughes North American Rotary Rig Count for Week Ending 3/5/10..... Full Story
The Energy Report : Oil Held hostage Day 353It is almost been a year since the day the oil market was changed forever... Full Story
Fast FactsThe April contract has expired lower than March in only 4 of the past 19 years. Since the March 2010 natural gas NYMEX contract expired at $4... Full Story
The Energy Report: EURO ManiaWho knew Greek austerity would feel so darned good. Oil prices soared on the backs of a surging euro dollar as the market seems to want to put Greece’s problems behind them... Full Story
VCM Weekly Natural Gas Comments for March 1Nymex NG April 10 - High $5.00 Low $4.74 Open $4.96 Close $4.81
Nymex NG 12 Month Strip - High $5.44 Low $5.27 Open $5.43 Close $5... Full Story
The Energy Report: 80 ProofOil traders may need a stiff drink after the wild end to yesterday’s trading session. Something strong like 80 proof or at the very least, proof that oil can close above 80... Full Story
Weekly AdvisorThe spring tends to be a timeframe in which natural gas prices rally. The rally is usually prompted by the uncertainties of summer weather, tropical storms, and summer storage injections... Full Story
EIA Discussion for Week Ending February 26thProjected EIA working storage for the week ending February 26th, 2010: First Enercast Financial is predicting a withdrawal of 129 BCF for this weeks EIA release, bringing total storage... Full Story
The Energy Report: Trying to Keep PositiveYou've got to accentuate the positive, eliminate the negative and latch on to the affirmative, don't mess with Mister In-Between. Oil tried to rally. It really did... Full Story
Weekly Energy PerspectivesNatural Gas: The NYMEX
prompt-month contract increased
$0.77/MMBtu last week to
$5.81/MMBtu on Friday. The 12-
month NYMEX strip price was
down $0.09/MMBtu to
$5.40/MMBtu... Full Story
Why Natural Gas Vehicles Won't Decrease Oil DependenceNatural gas is the fossil fuel du jour. At Davos, BP (BP) CEO, Tony Hayward, described unconventional natural gas as a 'complete game changer'. The rest of the panel agreed... Full Story
The Energy Report: In like a lion and out like a lamb?In like a lion and out like a lamb? Ok, I know it is a tired cliché about the month of March but probably apropos for the energy and stock markets. Last week’s blistering hot GDP at 5... Full Story
Rig CountWeekly Baker Hughes North American Rotary Rig Count for Week Ending 2/26/10..... Full Story
The Disappearance of the Natural Gas GlutLost amongst all the noise generated from the Federal Reserve’s discount rate hike and the ongoing saga in Greece, is the disappearance of last fall’s large overhang of natural gas... Full Story
The Energy Report: Bens MagicIs Ben Bernanke losing his influence over the Energy Market? Oh sure bleak Ben told the market yesterday that interest rates would stay low for infinity and that the economy was not ready for... Full Story
A Short Term Outlook For Gas Prices: Russia Calls The Shots (Again)Gas prices have held up well, in part on the prolonged cold spell... Full Story
The Energy Report: I Have ConfidenceI have confidence in sunshine, I have confidence in rain, I have confidence that spring will come again. But confidence in the economy may knock the confidence out of me... Full Story
EIA Discussion for Week Ending February 19thProjected EIA working storage for the week ending February 19th, 2010: First Enercast Financial is predicting a withdrawal of 171 BCF for this weeks EIA release, bringing total storage... Full Story
The Energy Report: Iran Back Down?Oil is down overnight in part because it is possible that Iran is backing down on their nuclear ambitions... Full Story
Weekly Natural Gas Technical Notes- Nymex NG April 10 - High $5.53 Low $5.01 Open $5.43 Close $5.06
- Nymex NG 12 Month Strip - High $5.95 Low $5.46 Open $5.89 Close $5... Full Story
Weekly Energy PerspectivesNatural Gas: The NYMEX prompt-month contract decreased $0.42/MMBtu last week to $5.04/MMBtu on Friday. The 12- month NYMEX strip price was down $0.39/MMBtu to $5.495/MMBtu... Full Story
Wx Risk Weather Forecast for 2/22THE BOTTOM LINE: MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT... STRONG ARCTIC PATTERN RETURNS FOR LAST WEEK OF FEB INTO EARLY MARCH..... Full Story
Peak Oil Review1. Prices and Production Oil prices have moved up steadily for two weeks, rising by almost $10 a barrel, and now are back in the vicinity of $80... Full Story
Peak Demand: The Cornucopians Reach for a Fig LeafThe world's oil supply optimists must feel as if they are in that dream that so many of us have had about arriving at work in our underwear... Full Story
Wx Risk Weather Forecast for 2/19THE BOTTOM LINE: MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT... STRONG ARCTIC PATTERN RETURNS FOR LAST WEEK OF FEB INTO EARLY MARCH..... Full Story
Rig CountWeekly Baker Hughes North American Rotary Rig Count for Week Ending 2/19/10..... Full Story
The Energy Report: Don’t discount the impact of the discount rate increaseDon’t discount the impact of the discount rate increase. The longest journey from the removal of extraordinary stimulus starts with the first step and that step has now been taken... Full Story
Wx Risk Weather Forecast for 2/18THE BOTTOM LINE: MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT... STRONG COLD PATTERN RETURNS FOR LAST WEEK OF FEB INTO EARLY MARCH..... Full Story
The Energy Report: Have It Your WayHave it your way, have it your way. The bulls have it their way yet beware because today is a brand new day... Full Story
Wx Risk Weather Forecast for 2/17THE BOTTOM LINE: GFS MODEL USELESS... EUROPEAN MODELS MUCH BETTER ... STRONG
COLD PATTERN HOLD EAST OF INTO MARCH..... Full Story
The Energy Report: Confidence GameThe petroleum complex soared for a lot of reasons but confidence may be the best reason. Oil and its price are not just a reflection of supply and demand but also a reflection of confidence... Full Story
Offshore Oil The Warren Buffett WayCommodities, particularly crude, were trending down last week after China's Central Bank raised bank reserve requirements boosting the US dollar against other major currencies... Full Story
Peak Oil Review1. Prices and Production Oil prices rose modestly last week on conflicting news... Full Story
Wx Risk Weather Forecast for 2/16THE BOTTOM LINE: GFS MODEL USELESS... EUROPEAN MODELS MUCH BETTER ..... Full Story
The Energy Report: I have a Yen for oilSay goodbye to the Euro and hello to the Japanese yen... Full Story |
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The Fate of Alberta's Oil and Gas Industry
I knew a change was on the horizon. Even my Canadian readers in Alberta who felt they weren't getting their fair share had to have known the royalty time bomb had to be defused... Full Story